Advancing traditional strategies for testing hydrological model fitness in a changing climate

Mapping Conservation Strategies under a Changing Climate

Climate model uncertainty versus conceptual geological uncertainty in hydrological modeling

Projections of climate change impact are associated with a cascade of uncertainties including in CO2 emission scenarios, climate models, downscaling and impact models. The relative importance of the individual uncertainty sources is expected to depend on several factors including the quantity that is projected. In the present study the impacts of climate model uncertainty and geological model u...

Climate and hydrological variability

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El Niño in a changing climate: a multi-model study

In many parts of the world, climate projections for the next century depend on potential changes in the properties of the El Niño – Southern Oscillation (ENSO). The current staus of these projections is assessed by examining a large set of climate model experiments prepared for the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Firstly, the patterns and time series o...

Hydrological response to changing climate conditions: Spatial streamflow variability in the boreal region

In this paper we combined a multimodel ensemble based on 15 regional climate models with a multicatchment approach to explore the hydrologic sensitivity of 14 neighboring and rather similar catchments to changing climate conditions. Current (1982–2010) and future (2062–2090) streamflow was simulated with the HBV model. A diagnostic approach was used, which considered major behavioral catchment ...